Trans Narva 0-2 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
64%
-19.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
30%
Away Win
16%
+13.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 20%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.60/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.43
-20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
24.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
19.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
21.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 5-0 HT 5-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-2
AWAY FC Kuressaare
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare beat Trans Narva 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 67% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 33%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Kuressaare?

Trans Narva 0-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 44%, draw 26%, FC Kuressaare 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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