FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
2.55/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.16
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
14.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.02.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn HAZ
01.10.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
0-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. FC Flora Tallinn carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 71% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 29%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.33 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 60%, draw 21%, Parnu JK Vaprus 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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