FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.02/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.61
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
14.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.02.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn HAZ
01.10.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
28.07.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn cruised past Parnu JK Vaprus 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 50% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 50%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.50 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 57%, draw 22%, Parnu JK Vaprus 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5
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