JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-13.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.02
-4% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 3-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
28.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
23.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
2-3
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju squeezed past JK Tammeka Tartu 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Nomme JK Kalju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 53% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 47%, shots finished 22-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 2.33 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju?

JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 33%, draw 27%, Nomme JK Kalju 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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