Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.7
No
59%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
55%
-13.8pp
59%
BTTS No
45%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.82
+65% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
23.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
16.04.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-0
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju swept aside JK Tammeka Tartu 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 49% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 51%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.17 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 46%, draw 24%, JK Tammeka Tartu 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →