Trans Narva 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.83/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.02
-37% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-3 HT 1-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
04.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.04.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
27.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-3
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond swept aside Trans Narva 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 34% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 66%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Trans Narva 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 26%, draw 28%, Paide Linnameeskond 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ BTTS Yes
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