Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.30/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.96
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
25.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
11.11.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
17.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn nicked a narrow win over Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day FC Flora Tallinn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 47% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 53%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 39%, draw 24%, FC Flora Tallinn 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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