Trans Narva 0-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
0.87/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.54
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +72%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.10.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
29.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 6-0 HT 3-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
01.10.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-1
AWAY FC Levadia
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 48% of the ball to FC Levadia's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Trans Narva and 2.17 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Trans Narva 0-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 22%, draw 25%, FC Levadia 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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