Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
2.70/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.41
+19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
473 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
5W-0D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
24.08.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-3 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.05.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
20.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
30.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
19.08.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 6-3 HT 3-3 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 67% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 33%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.17 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 57%, draw 23%, JK Tammeka Tartu 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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