FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.62/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.07
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
25.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-0
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past Nomme JK Kalju 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 56% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 44%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.83 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 45%, draw 25%, Nomme JK Kalju 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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