Tallinna Kalev 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+1.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.3pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.36/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.09
+13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-1D-5L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 5-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.03.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
05.10.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev nicked a narrow win over JK Tammeka Tartu 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was JK Tammeka Tartu at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 58% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 42%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 3.00 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Tallinna Kalev 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 25%, draw 23%, JK Tammeka Tartu 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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