JK Tammeka Tartu 5-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -12%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.81
-7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
05.10.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.10.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-7 HT 2-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
5-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu swept aside Tallinna Kalev 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 61% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 39%, shots finished 25-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.83 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev?

JK Tammeka Tartu 5-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 44%, draw 23%, Tallinna Kalev 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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