Tallinna Kalev 1-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
20%
+10.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-13.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 62%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.04/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.87
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
199 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1W-2D-3L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.10.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-7 HT 2-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
05.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 13
8 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu squeezed past Tallinna Kalev 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 56% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 44%, shots finished 11-27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.33 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Tallinna Kalev 1-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 30%, draw 24%, JK Tammeka Tartu 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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