FC Kuressaare 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
58%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
58%
Away Win
75%
-16.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 80%
+13% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.03/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.89
+49% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
180 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
21.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-3 HT 2-3 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
06.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 28% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 72%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Kuressaare 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 19%, draw 23%, Paide Linnameeskond 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5
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