FC Kuressaare 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.70/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.18
+34% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
39% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
06.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
22.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond beat FC Kuressaare 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 48% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.67 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Kuressaare 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 26%, draw 27%, Paide Linnameeskond 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ BTTS Yes
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4 Aug 2024
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