Paide Linnameeskond 4-3 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-17.7pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.60/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.35
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
488 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
06.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
22.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4-3
AWAY FC Kuressaare
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 63% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 37%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.17 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Paide Linnameeskond 4-3 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 56%, draw 23%, FC Kuressaare 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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