FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.02/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.41
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-1D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
19.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
31.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
02.07.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
03.05.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-3 HT 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 64% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 36%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.67 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 49%, draw 27%, JK Tammeka Tartu 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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