JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.46/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.88
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
31.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
02.07.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
03.05.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-3 HT 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.04.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
2-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu beat FC Flora Tallinn 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 42% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 58%, shots finished 20-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 2.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn?

JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 31%, draw 28%, FC Flora Tallinn 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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