Nomme United 0-4 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 69%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.94
+42% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
17.03.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
0-4
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju swept aside Nomme United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nomme United had 42% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 58%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nomme United and 0.50 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Nomme United 0-4 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 23%, draw 26%, Nomme JK Kalju 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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