Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.61
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.7pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.8pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.15/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.33
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-1
AWAY Nomme United
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju and Nomme United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nomme JK Kalju at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 54% of the ball to Nomme United's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 67%, draw 19%, Nomme United 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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