FC Kuressaare 2-2 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.25/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.31
-10% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
11.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
17.09.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
03.05.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
19.03.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.11.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
2-2
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare and Parnu JK Vaprus shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 39% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 61%, shots finished 8-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.50 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Kuressaare 2-2 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 37%, draw 25%, Parnu JK Vaprus 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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