Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.07
-41% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +59%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-3 HT 2-3 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
06.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
22.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past FC Kuressaare 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 56% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 44%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.67 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 57%, draw 22%, FC Kuressaare 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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