FC Kuressaare 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
12%
+8.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-11.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.97/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.68
+35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +13%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
221 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
26.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-4 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-3
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn got the better of FC Kuressaare 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 33% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 67%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Kuressaare and 3.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Kuressaare 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 21%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5
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