FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.93/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.86
+2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
08.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past FC Kuressaare 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 67% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 33%, shots finished 20-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.67 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 58%, draw 18%, FC Kuressaare 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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