FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.0pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.47/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.41
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
498 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-4 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn swept aside FC Kuressaare 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 69% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 31%, shots finished 20-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.83 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 58%, draw 22%, FC Kuressaare 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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