Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.3pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.02
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
19.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-0 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
20.04.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-2 HT 0-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
26.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme United Nomme United ESTK
03.11.2021 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST2
22.10.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-0
AWAY Nomme United
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev squeezed past Nomme United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tallinna Kalev as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 46% of the ball to Nomme United's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.00 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme United?

Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 58%, draw 18%, Nomme United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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