Tallinna Kalev 2-0 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 31%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.79/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.00
+21% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-2 HT 0-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
26.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme United Nomme United ESTK
03.11.2021 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST2
22.10.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
04.03.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2-0
AWAY Nomme United
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev got the better of Nomme United 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tallinna Kalev as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 49% of the ball to Nomme United's 51%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.00 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme United?

Tallinna Kalev 2-0 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 41%, draw 28%, Nomme United 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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