Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
58%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.9pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-15.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 78%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.74/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.69
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 529 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
01.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.08.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
24.05.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
05.03.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
29.10.2022 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0-2
AWAY FC Levadia
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia beat Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 39% of the ball to FC Levadia's 61%, shots finished 2-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.17 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 20%, draw 22%, FC Levadia 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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