Nomme United 1-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 45%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.51/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/1.12
-64% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-0 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
20.04.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-2 HT 0-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
26.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme United Nomme United ESTK
03.11.2021 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST2
22.10.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
04.03.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
1-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme United and Tallinna Kalev shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Nomme United had 49% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 51%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nomme United and 2.17 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nomme United 1-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 38%, draw 21%, Tallinna Kalev 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
25 Aug 2024
19:00 FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju Analysis →