FC Levadia 3-0 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.35/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.68
-24% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 HT 1-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-3 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.07.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 3-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
29.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
3-0
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia swept aside Nomme JK Kalju 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 53% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Levadia and 1.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Levadia 3-0 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 48%, draw 25%, Nomme JK Kalju 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
25 Aug 2024
17:00 Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev Analysis →