FC Kuressaare 3-4 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.78
-4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
3-4
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past FC Kuressaare 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 42% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 58%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.33 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Kuressaare 3-4 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 21%, draw 25%, FC Flora Tallinn 54%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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