Paide Linnameeskond 7-2 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.7pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.4pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.43/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.72
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 172 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
19.10.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
7-2
AWAY Nomme United
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond swept aside Nomme United 7-2. Half-time: 5-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 59% of the ball to Nomme United's 41%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.33 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United?

Paide Linnameeskond 7-2 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 63%, draw 23%, Nomme United 15%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
14 Sep 2024
14:30 FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn Analysis →
19:00 FC Levadia vs Trans Narva Analysis →