Nomme United 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.8pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 72%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.90
+46% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
31% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
19.10.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
0-1
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over Nomme United 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nomme United had 47% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 53%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nomme United and 3.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme United 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 20%, draw 26%, Paide Linnameeskond 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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