FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.6pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.46/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.31
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
364 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-4 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over FC Kuressaare 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 71% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 29%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.83 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare?

FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 55%, draw 25%, FC Kuressaare 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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