JK Tammeka Tartu 0-5 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.58/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
-14% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
02.08.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
09.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.11.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
26.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0-5
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus ran out comfortable winners over JK Tammeka Tartu 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was JK Tammeka Tartu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 45% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 55%, shots finished 8-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.00 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

JK Tammeka Tartu 0-5 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 44%, draw 27%, Parnu JK Vaprus 29%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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