Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 23 May 2024

Parnu JK Vaprus
1-1 HT 0-1
JK Tammeka Tartu
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parnu JK Vaprus v JK Tammeka Tartu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 48%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.82/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.35
+40% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.11.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
26.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.06.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
08.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
22.10.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus and JK Tammeka Tartu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was JK Tammeka Tartu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 58% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 42%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.67 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 28%, draw 25%, JK Tammeka Tartu 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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