Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.4pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.38/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.68
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
09.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.11.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
26.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.06.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus and JK Tammeka Tartu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 52% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.67 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 30%, draw 33%, JK Tammeka Tartu 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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