Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.33/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.36
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
17.03.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-0
AWAY Nomme United
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju cruised past Nomme United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 59% of the ball to Nomme United's 41%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.33 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 61%, draw 22%, Nomme United 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
18 Sep 2024
19:00 Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu Analysis →