JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Aug 2024

JK Tammeka Tartu
0-1 HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JK Tammeka Tartu v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
09.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.11.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
26.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.06.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
08.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1

JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus edged past JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JK Tammeka Tartu at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 42% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 58%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.17 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 46%, draw 25%, Parnu JK Vaprus 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ BTTS No
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