Trans Narva 4-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.86/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.00
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.10.2024 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
23.09.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
18.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
02.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
08.04.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
4-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva beat Harju Jalgpallikool 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 55% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 45%, shots finished 25-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Trans Narva and 0.67 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Trans Narva 4-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 49%, draw 26%, Harju Jalgpallikool 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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