Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -76% / -76%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +98%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
18.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
02.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
08.04.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0-3
AWAY Trans Narva
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva ran out comfortable winners over Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 56% of the ball to Trans Narva's 44%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trans Narva led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.75 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Trans Narva?

Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 28%, draw 29%, Trans Narva 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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