Tallinna Kalev 3-0 TJK Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
79%
-18.6pp
23%
Draw
12%
+10.3pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY TJK Legion EU Bookmakers 11%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.95
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
469 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2W-2D-2L
AWAY TJK Legion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-0 HT 0-0 TJK Legion TJK Legion EST1
30.08.2022 TJK Legion TJK Legion 2-3 HT 0-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
28.05.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 0-0 TJK Legion TJK Legion EST1
16.04.2022 TJK Legion TJK Legion 1-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
21.11.2020 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 TJK Legion TJK Legion EST1
24.10.2020 TJK Legion TJK Legion 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3-0
AWAY TJK Legion
74% Ball Possession 26%
32 Total Shots 2
15 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs TJK Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev swept aside TJK Legion 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tallinna Kalev as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 74% of the ball to TJK Legion's 26%, shots finished 32-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.50 for TJK Legion.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs TJK Legion?

Tallinna Kalev 3-0 TJK Legion in the Estonia - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs TJK Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 61%, draw 23%, TJK Legion 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✓ Over 2.5
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