JK Tabasalu 1-3 FC Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+17.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.5pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tabasalu EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tallinn EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tabasalu
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Tallinn
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 JK Tabasalu JK Tabasalu 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Tallinn FC Tallinn EST2
18.07.2023 FC Tallinn FC Tallinn 2-4 HT 0-3 JK Tabasalu JK Tabasalu EST2
12.04.2023 JK Tabasalu JK Tabasalu 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tallinn FC Tallinn ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tabasalu
1-3
AWAY FC Tallinn
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JK Tabasalu vs FC Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tallinn beat JK Tabasalu 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, JK Tabasalu had 37% of the ball to FC Tallinn's 63%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, JK Tabasalu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for JK Tabasalu and 2.00 for FC Tallinn.

What was the final score of JK Tabasalu vs FC Tallinn?

JK Tabasalu 1-3 FC Tallinn in the Estonia - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tabasalu vs FC Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split JK Tabasalu 33%, draw 20%, FC Tallinn 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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