Trans Narva 2-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.46
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.86
Over 2.5
60%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.76
No
36%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
53%
+10.9pp
36%
BTTS No
47%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
0.74/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.75
-45% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +56%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.03.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
29.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
25.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-3 HT 1-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
04.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Trans Narva 2-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 20%, draw 34%, Paide Linnameeskond 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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