Trans Narva 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.86/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.91
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
25.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-3 HT 1-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
04.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.04.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
27.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 39% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 61%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trans Narva and 1.83 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Trans Narva 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 27%, draw 27%, Paide Linnameeskond 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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