Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.51
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
4%
+14.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
64%
Away Win
80%
-16.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+16.4pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.57/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.60
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
180 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
19.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
20.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
01.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.08.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-2
AWAY FC Levadia
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 33% of the ball to FC Levadia's 67%, shots finished 4-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 2.17 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 18%, draw 18%, FC Levadia 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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