Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
58%
Away Win
70%
-12.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.71/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.61
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +32%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
20.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
01.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.08.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
24.05.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
05.03.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-4
AWAY FC Levadia
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia cruised past Parnu JK Vaprus 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 24% of the ball to FC Levadia's 76%, shots finished 4-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.00 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 20%, draw 22%, FC Levadia 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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