Tallinna Kalev 0-4 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
11%
+15.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
52%
Away Win
71%
-18.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.80/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.76
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
222 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-1 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-3 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
10.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
20.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-4
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn swept aside Tallinna Kalev 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 36% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 64%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.50 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Tallinna Kalev 0-4 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 27%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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