Kaspyi 3-2 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 Jul 2026

Kaspyi
3-2 HT 1-1
Ordabasy Shymkent
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Kaspyi vs Ordabasy Shymkent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.95
No
39%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
47%
+13.3pp
39%
BTTS No
53%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaspyi v Ordabasy Shymkent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 69%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.94/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.79
+4% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kaspyi vs Ordabasy Shymkent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaspyi
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
20.06.2026 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 2-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
30.04.2026 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 HT 1-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZKK
29.10.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
04.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 1-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
04.07.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 4-1 HT 2-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
03.04.2022 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaspyi vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaspyi nicked a narrow win over Ordabasy Shymkent 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Ordabasy Shymkent carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kaspyi and 2.17 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Kaspyi vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Kaspyi 3-2 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaspyi vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kaspyi 19%, draw 23%, Ordabasy Shymkent 58%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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