Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 Kaspyi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 15%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
0.98/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.52
-52% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kaspyi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
29.10.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
04.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 1-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
04.07.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 4-1 HT 2-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
03.04.2022 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
27.09.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 1-1 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
08.05.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaspyi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent swept aside Kaspyi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.00 for Kaspyi.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaspyi?

Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 Kaspyi in the Kazakistan - Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaspyi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 63%, draw 19%, Kaspyi 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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